This author says that Bush has his work cut out for him if he wants to get reelected — while the war was a success (by his terms anyway) his domestic agenda isn't doing so well, and neither is the American economy. As such, he's vulnerable to the threat of becoming a one-term president like his father.
But...
"Bush is a different animal from his father and three things could stop history repeating itself. The first is the Democrats. The prospect of getting rid of Bush will energise many Democrats but the nine who have put themselves forward so far have either failed to capture the popular imagination or simply have little hope of getting elected. The front-runner in the polls, John Kerry, has flip-flopped on the war and comes across as uptight. The front-runner in the money-raising stakes, John Edwards, is too rightwing and inexperienced. There is not one of them who is likely to win who could bellow: "That ain't right", even if they wanted to."
I consider myself warned.
